Confidence

The tool permits two Confidence Languages—verbal and numerical—and four Evaluation Formats. Click below to learn more.

Confidence languages

Confidence can be conveyed using verbal terms: low, medium, high, and so on. But, for various reasons, it may be useful to have a numerical scale. Think of what the numerical probability scale can add to verbal probability phrases (likely, unlikely). However, for a scale to be useful, it needs to have a clear meaning. … Continue reading Confidence languages

Confidence Evaluation Formats

For verbal confidence evaluation, you will be invited to select the appropriate verbal term from a pre-specified list (that used by the IPCC). For numerical confidence evaluation, three options are available: